It seems like we’re in a great position to cooperate with China on an AI pause, in the following sense:
If we want to pause, it’s +EV for China to agree to a coordinated pause even if they don’t take x-risk seriously, as long as they recognize that if we continue the way we are currently going and there is no catastrophe, the US will develop transformative AI first which will give it a huge and lasting economic and military advantage over China.